historical mortgage rates

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As an existing mortgage broker or an aspiring one, learning about historical mortgage rates can help you provide top-notch service to your clients. When you know how rates have changed over time, you can give your clients context and set realistic expectations.

In this article, Wealth Professional Canada will cover how mortgage rates have evolved in the country. We’ll talk about the factors that influence them, and how you can use this knowledge to support your clients.

What are historical mortgage rates?

Historical mortgage rates refer to the interest rates charged on home loans in the past. These rates were recorded over months, years, or decades. Tracking these figures helps you see patterns, spot trends, and explain why rates are higher or lower at certain times.

For example, if your clients ask why rates seem high today, you can show them how current rates compare to those in previous years. This context can help reduce anxiety and build trust. Watch this short clip for more:

Having a good grasp of historical mortgage rates can be beneficial when helping your clients get a mortgage.

Mortgage rates affect how much your clients pay for their homes. Even a small change in rates can mean thousands of dollars in extra payments over the life of a mortgage. When you discuss historical rates, you help your clients:

  • understand if current rates are high, low, or average
  • decide whether to lock in a fixed rate or choose a variable rate
  • time their home purchase or renewal for the best possible deal

For example, if rates are near historic lows, your clients might feel more confident about locking in a rate. If rates are rising, they might want to act quickly before rates climb further.

How mortgage rates are set in Canada

Mortgage rates in Canada are influenced by several factors. The most important include:

1. Bank of Canada policy rate

The Bank of Canada sets a target for the overnight lending rate. This is the rate at which major banks lend money to each other. When the Bank of Canada raises or lowers this rate, it affects the cost of borrowing throughout the economy.

Variable mortgage rates usually move up or down in response to changes in the policy rate.

2. Bond market and fixed rates

Fixed mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on Government of Canada bonds, especially the five-year bond. When bond yields rise, fixed mortgage rates usually go up as well. When bond yields fall, fixed rates tend to drop.

3. Economic growth and inflation

When the economy is strong and inflation is rising, interest rates usually increase. The Bank of Canada might raise rates to keep inflation in check. During periods of slow growth or recession, rates often fall to encourage borrowing and spending.

4. Competition among lenders

Banks and other mortgage lenders compete for business. If one lender cuts rates, others might follow to stay competitive. This can lead to short-term fluctuations in mortgage rates, even if broader economic factors remain unchanged.

A brief history of mortgage rates in Canada

Mortgage rates in Canada have changed dramatically over the past several decades. Here’s a look at some of the most important periods:

The 1980s: Double-digit rates

In the early 1980s, Canada experienced some of the highest mortgage rates on record. Rates for five-year fixed mortgages peaked at over 20 percent in 1981. High inflation and aggressive moves by the Bank of Canada to control it drove rates to these levels. Many homeowners struggled with affordability, and the housing market slowed.

The 1990s: Gradual decline

After the peak in the early 1980s, mortgage rates began to fall. By the mid-1990s, five-year fixed rates were closer to eight to 10 percent. Inflation was under control, and the economy stabilized. Lower rates made homeownership more affordable for many Canadians.

The 2000s: Steady and stable

The early 2000s saw relatively stable mortgage rates. Five-year fixed rates hovered between five percent and seven percent. The Bank of Canada kept inflation in check, and the housing market grew steadily. Variable rates also became more popular as they offered lower initial payments.

Financial crisis of 2008: Record lows

The global financial crisis in 2008 led to a sharp drop in interest rates. The Bank of Canada slashed its policy rate to support the economy. Five-year fixed mortgage rates fell below five percent for the first time in decades. Some variable rates dropped below two percent. This period marked the beginning of a long era of low rates.

The 2010s: Prolonged low rates

Throughout the 2010s, mortgage rates remained at historic lows. The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate low to support economic recovery. Five-year fixed rates often ranged from 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent. This made homeownership more accessible but also contributed to rising home prices in many markets.

COVID-19 pandemic: New record lows

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered another round of rate cuts. The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to 0.25 percent, the lowest in history. Five-year fixed rates dropped below two percent at some lenders. This fueled a surge in home buying and refinancing as Canadians rushed to lock in low rates.

From 2022 and beyond: Rising rates return

Starting in 2022, inflation surged due to:

  • supply chain disruptions
  • government stimulus
  • global events

The Bank of Canada responded by raising its policy rate several times. By 2025, five-year fixed mortgage rates had climbed back to five to six percent at many lenders. This shift cooled housing demand and made affordability a bigger concern for home buyers.

Here's a comparative table of the average mortgage rates per decade in Canada:

a historical mortgage rates table showing average mortgage rates and posted rate ranges by decade from the 1970s to 2020s in Canada

What was the highest mortgage interest rate ever in Canada?

The highest mortgage rate ever in Canada was 21.75 percent for a five-year term. This happened between August and October of 1981, as the average posted rate from most major mortgage providers.

As for the lowest fixed mortgage rate ever in Canada, it was 2.79 percent for a one-year term, which happened in January 2021. Near the end of that year, the five-year variable mortgage rate had dropped to as low as 0.88 percent.

You might also want to check out our guide to the mortgage market.

Are Canadian mortgage rates expected to go down in 2025?

Recently, Bank of Canada has been cutting interest rates to boost the housing market. Still, many potential homebuyers were expected to remain on the sidelines if they foresee further economic instability.

It is difficult to predict with certainty when mortgage rates will drop again, as they are influenced by a variety of factors. If you have clients who want to purchase property as soon as possible, it would be wise to start looking at the economic factors involved. That way, you can help them plan better for their finances.

How to use historical mortgage rates with your clients

You can use historical mortgage rates in several practical ways:

  • Set realistic expectations: Show your clients how current rates compare to past averages. For example, if rates are five percent today but were over 20 percent in the 1980s, your clients might feel more comfortable with current rates.
  • Explain rate cycles: Mortgage rates move in cycles. When you explain that rates have gone up and down many times before, your clients can see that today’s rates are part of a larger pattern.
  • Support timing decisions: If your clients are thinking about buying or renewing, you can use historical data to discuss whether now is a good time to act. For instance, if rates are rising, waiting might mean paying more later.
  • Compare fixed and variable options: Historical data shows that variable rates are usually lower than fixed rates over the long term, but they come with more risk. You can use this information to help your clients weigh the pros and cons.
  • Address affordability concerns: If your clients worry about higher payments, you can show them how rates have changed in the past. Then, discuss strategies for managing costs, such as choosing a shorter amortization or making lump-sum payments.

Using historical mortgage rates to support your clients

When you know how rates have changed over time, you can put today’s rates in context and explain the factors that influence them. In turn, you’ll be able to help your clients make better choices about their mortgages.

Finally, always use reliable sources to stay updated and share clear data with your clients. You must also discuss how rate trends might affect their plans. By doing so, you position yourself as a trusted advisor who can guide your clients through changing market conditions.

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