Condo associations could face sink-or-swim moment under new lending rules

Failing a single Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac criterion could freeze financing for an entire condo association, lender warns

Condo associations could face sink-or-swim moment under new lending rules

Condo associations across the US may be approaching a crossroads thanks to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rule changes, introduced this year, that could have a huge impact on financing and hit associations without their house in order the hardest.

In March, the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) issued coordinated updates that change how associations qualify for conventional backing, eliminating the 50% investor-concentration cap that had frozen financing in many high-density buildings while also raising the bar on reserve funding and insurance coverage.

Reserve requirements are increasing from 10% to 15% of a project's annual budget for loan applications dated on or after January 4, 2027, while master insurance policies face a new $50,000-per-unit deductible cap effective July 1 of this year.

Fannie Mae is also set to retire its Limited Review process on August 3, with Freddie Mac eliminating its comparable Streamlined Review pathway the same day – meaning more condo purchases will face full project-level scrutiny going forward.

The consequences of falling out of compliance could extend well beyond a single denied loan. Under both GSEs' rules, a condo project that fails even one eligibility criterion – reserves, delinquency rates, insurance, presale thresholds, single-entity ownership, or commercial space limits – becomes non-warrantable for every unit in the building, not just the one under contract.

A survey of more than 700 board members, managers, and industry partners by the Community Associations Institute's Foundation for Community Association Research found that 64% of respondents whose community had already been deemed ineligible for federally backed financing said the denial had negatively affected home sales or property values.

Owner-occupancy rules remain a sticking point

Sammy Iliopoulos, senior vice president of mortgage lending at Guaranteed Rate in Boston, said he already sees the impact showing up in the field, with management quality often the deciding factor in whether an association stays compliant.

In some cases, associations "are not hiring the correct management company in order for them to get their association warrantable," he told Mortgage Professional America, pointing to poor property management as a root cause of associations falling out of compliance.

State first-time homebuyer bond programs also add another layer of scrutiny. "There's a lot of bond programs. They're all very similar in terms of requirements across the country, whether you're in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, or Pennsylvania," he said. "A lot of them require a high owner occupancy."

The need to meet owner-occupancy thresholds, he said, is likely to remain a persistent challenge for associations seeking bond-program financing – a borrower-level requirement, distinct from the GSEs' project-level investor-concentration rules, which Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have loosened at the federal level. "The problem is making sure that it's a warrantable condo. That's really kind of the key," he said.

Pressure builds toward single-family homes

Tightening warrantability standards are likely to put downward pressure on condo prices, according to Iliopoulos. That could mark a potential affordability boost for some buyers – but the headwinds facing the sector might also push demand toward single-family homes, especially if mortgage rates ease from their current levels.

The 30-year fixed rate averaged 6.49% for the week ending July 9, according to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, down from 6.72% a year earlier, though Bankrate's national survey put the average back up to 6.64% as of July 14.

Economists cited by Bankrate expect rates to hold above 6% for the rest of the year, which would temper any rapid affordability turnaround even as condo-specific pressures continue to build.

If a condo isn't warrantable, its appeal will plummet for buyers of all stripes – a particular concern for first-time buyers, for whom condos remain one of the few entry points into homeownership in markets short on starter-home inventory.

That poses fresh challenges for a sector that's already been grappling with big challenges over the past year, and whose specific pressure points have shifted. "If it's not one thing, it's the next," Iliopoulos said. "Last year, the problem was insurance. This year it's budget," he said. "Pick your poison."

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