Pressure on subprime borrowers grows as consumer debt jumps

One sector is seeing the worst delinquency surge in years

Pressure on subprime borrowers grows as consumer debt jumps

Consumer debt in the United States climbed to $17.86 trillion in June 2025, marking a 2% increase from the previous year, according to Equifax’s second quarter Market Pulse report. Despite the rising debt levels, overall delinquency rates held steady at 1.5% for the third consecutive month. 

The Atlanta-based credit reporting company’s data reveals a complex picture of American consumer finances, with spending continuing across categories while certain borrower segments show increasing strain. 

Subprime borrowers face growing pressure 

The report highlights a concerning trend among subprime borrowers, who now hold 22.1% of all bankcard debt as of May 2025. This represents a 3.5% increase from May 2024 and a significant 50.9% jump from the pandemic low of 14.7% in May 2021. 

“At the surface level, our second quarter data showed that consumers are continuing to spend and avoid delinquency. However, there’s a growing K-shaped split in the consumer landscape, with subprime borrowers falling behind,” said Tom O'Neill, market pulse advisor at Equifax. 

Total bankcard debt for subprime borrowers surged 135% to $233.1 billion in May 2025, compared to $99.4 billion in May 2021, while overall consumer bankcard debt grew just 54% during the same period. 

Student loan crisis emerges 

Student loan debt presented the most severe deterioration among major lending sectors. After resuming delinquency reporting in 2025 following a five-year suspension, severe delinquency rates doubled from 6.48% to 13.49% in March, climbing to 18.73% in May before declining slightly to 17.95% in June. 

Outstanding student loan debt dropped sharply to $1.33 trillion in June 2025, representing an 11% decrease year-over-year. The number of active accounts fell 15.6% to 146.7 million. 

Credit cards show stability 

Bankcard credit balances reached $1.07 trillion in June, up 4.2% year-over-year, with total accounts increasing 5.7% to 581.6 million. Delinquency rates showed improvement, falling 4.4% year-over-year to 2.79% in June 2025, down from a peak of 3.22% in November 2024. 

Auto market shifts to leases 

Auto loan and lease debt totaled $1.68 trillion in June, with lease balances surging 13.6% while auto loan balances rose just 1.1%. Lease delinquencies dropped to 0.42%, contrasting with auto loan delinquencies that edged up to 1.5%. 

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