Even if rates don’t go down on Thursday, some household relief for clients
We know, we KNOW - the big news will be if rates come down on Thursday - but consensus among pundits seems to be that the rate will stay where it is - with there being a 30-40% likelihood of a cut this time round.
But even if the eggheads at the banks are right, there is a silver lining of sorts in news that average home insurance premiums in the United Kingdom fell by 13% year-on-year in September, declining from £226 in 2024 to £197 in 2025, - at least according to Compare the Market.
The North East and East Midlands recorded the largest reductions, with premiums dropping by 15% in both regions. The North West, Scotland, and the West Midlands followed closely with decreases of 14%. Northern Ireland was the only region to buck the trend, seeing a 9% rise in home insurance costs.
Northern Ireland remained the most expensive region for home insurance at £482, followed by Yorkshire and the Humber at £328 and Greater London at £308. The most affordable premiums were found in the North East at £152, the East of England at £159, and the West Midlands at £169.
The decline in premiums comes as the Met Office forecasts a “wetter than average” autumn, with some parts of the country receiving nearly twice their usual rainfall in September. The outlook also predicts above-average rain and wind for the rest of the season, raising concerns about flooding in certain areas.
“It’s encouraging to see home insurance premiums falling. However, while lower costs should be welcome news for homeowners, it’s important not to focus on price alone,” said Sam Wilson from Compare the Market. “With forecasts of unsettled weather ahead, households should check that their policies offer the right levels of cover for their needs.”
Flood cover is typically included as standard in most home insurance policies, but homeowners are advised to review their policy documents carefully. Common exclusions that could affect flood-related claims include alternative accommodation costs, damage to properties left unoccupied for long periods, and damage to fences, gates, or hedges.
How the UK compares with the rest of the world
As British households enjoy rare relief from rising costs, a glance beyond the Channel and across the Atlantic reveals that home insurance here remains among the cheapest in the developed world.
The average British homeowner now pays just under £200 for combined buildings and contents insurance — roughly one-tenth of the typical American premium. In the United States, the average homeowner’s policy costs around US$2,110 a year, or about £1,750, for a dwelling insured for roughly $300,000. In states exposed to hurricanes or wildfires, that figure can climb beyond US$4,000.
Canada and Australia also sit well above British levels, with average annual costs of about £700 and £780 respectively. By contrast, mainland Europe shows greater similarity to the UK: France and Germany record averages between £220 and £350, depending on coverage type and region, while Japan’s average of £180–£290 sits slightly below Britain’s.
|
Country |
Average annual premium (2025 est.) |
Typical coverage |
Relative to UK |
|---|---|---|---|
|
United Kingdom |
£197 |
Buildings + contents |
— |
|
United States |
£1,750 (US$2,110) |
Dwelling + liability |
~9× higher |
|
Canada |
£700 (C$1,200) |
Building + contents |
~3.5× higher |
|
Australia |
£780 (AU$1,500) |
Building + contents |
~4× higher |
|
Germany |
£260–£300 (€300–€350) |
Building only |
Comparable |
|
France |
£220–£350 (€250–€400) |
Multirisque habitation |
Comparable |
|
Japan |
£180–£290 (¥35,000–¥55,000) |
Fire + earthquake optional |
Comparable-to-lower |
Why Britain has stayed cheaper
Britain’s relative calmness, both meteorological and competitive, has long kept its home insurance affordable. Unlike the United States or Australia, the UK rarely experiences large-scale natural catastrophes such as hurricanes, tornadoes or wildfires. Flooding and storms are the principal threats, but these are usually localised and less devastating.
The domestic market is also fiercely contested. Dozens of insurers compete on price through comparison sites, driving down margins and keeping premiums low. Insurers benefit, too, from a dense and relatively homogeneous housing stock that allows them to spread risk efficiently across regions.
Signs of pressure ahead
Nevertheless, the downward trend in premiums may not last. Inflation in construction materials, labour shortages and higher reinsurance costs have already squeezed underwriting margins. Successive wet winters and rising sea levels are beginning to challenge long-held assumptions about the frequency and severity of flood risk.
Flood Re, the government-backed reinsurance scheme for high-risk homes, has been described by analysts as a “temporary shield” that will face increasing strain as extreme weather events become more common.
“The UK has historically been insulated from the worst of global catastrophe losses,” says one industry analyst. “But climate volatility and higher rebuild costs are starting to close that gap.”
Perspective and the global balance
In relative terms, the cost of home insurance in Britain still represents a small fraction of property value. Premiums amount to roughly 0.05 to 0.1 per cent of insured value, compared with 0.3 to 0.4 per cent in the United States. The difference reflects both lower risk and narrower coverage, as American homeowners’ policies typically include liability and more comprehensive perils protection.
The global picture thus flatters the British consumer: even after a decade of inflationary pressures, the cost of protecting one’s home remains modest by international standards.
Yet this comfort may prove short-lived. Should flooding intensify and reinsurance markets harden further, the UK could see premiums begin to drift upwards again. For now, though, falling costs offer rare respite — provided homeowners remember that cheap insurance is only good value if it still pays out when the rain comes down.


