Separate legal challenges force regulator to instruct lenders to draw up contingency plans for other outcomes
The Financial Conduct Authority's landmark motor finance redress scheme is under serious threat of unravelling, after four separate legal challenges forced the regulator to instruct lenders to draw up contingency plans for a world in which no scheme exists.
The FCA confirmed on Friday it had received challenges from Volkswagen Financial Services, Mercedes-Benz Financial Services, and Crédit Agricole Auto Finance, alongside an omnibus claim filed on behalf of consumers by Consumer Voice, represented by Courmacs Legal.
The regulator said it would "defend [the scheme] robustly" but acknowledged the gravity of the situation, telling all parties it was "prudent" to plan against a "central planning assumption" of no scheme at all.
The legal challenges centre on the application of limitation periods: specifically, whether consumers have suffered loss or damage sufficient to trigger compensation entitlement, as well as at least one claim alleging that the scheme constitutes an unlawful interference with lenders' property rights under the Human Rights Act 1998.
The scheme, finalised in late March, had already been scaled back from initial projections. The estimated industry-wide bill fell to £9.1 billion from an earlier figure of £11 billion, after the number of qualifying lending agreements was revised downward from 14.2 million to 12.1 million.
Under the current framework, consumers stand to receive average payouts of £830, with disbursements expected to begin in late 2026. That timeline that now appears increasingly uncertain.
The scandal itself stems from the widespread use of discretionary commission arrangements between car dealers and lenders, which critics argued left consumers unaware they were paying inflated rates to fund dealer incentives.
The matter reached the Supreme Court last year, which found in favour of lenders on two of the three cases before it but left open a pathway for a redress scheme on grounds of "unfairness" after one consumer's commission charge was found to be disproportionate.
Meanwhile, the human cost of the protracted legal uncertainty is beginning to be felt across the industry. Blue Motor Finance, an independent lender that extended more than £1 billion in credit to over 120,000 customers, is reportedly on the verge of administration.
The firm is said to be facing a redress liability exceeding £50 million, and EY has been lined up to oversee insolvency proceedings should a rescue deal – currently being explored – fall through. Shawbrook Bank is reported to have earlier terminated a forward flow funding arrangement with the firm.
Not all lenders have chosen to fight the scheme in court. Lloyds Banking Group, which has set aside £2 billion in provisions and carries among the heaviest exposures in the sector, confirmed it would not mount a legal challenge, describing itself as "disappointed" with the final rules but accepting them nonetheless. Santander, which lifted its provisions to £640 million (a move that weighed on its first-quarter results) has similarly declined to pursue litigation.
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